２０２２年１２月５日（Mon.）14:15UP ：　　　どのような戦況変化があったとしても、ロシア国民自身によるプーチン政権の転覆を祈るばかりです。日和見主義から脱却しましょう、今すぐ！　（ニュースソース：　BBC １２月４日発　）

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Ukraine war: Fighting set to slow for winter months, says US intelligence

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The fighting in Ukraine has been slowing down and this will likely continue in the coming winter months, US intelligence agencies believe.

However, there has been no evidence of fading resistance on the part of Ukrainian forces, US director of intelligence Avril Haines said.

She said both sides would try to "refit, resupply and reconstitute" for any counter-offensive in the spring.

It follows Russian attacks on Ukraine's critical energy infrastructure.

The war in Ukraine is now in its ninth month but Russia has lost more than half the land it seized.

Ms Haines told a defence forum in California that most of the fighting is currently around the Bakhmut and Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine.

She said fighting had slowed down following Russia's withdrawal of troopsfrom the west of the Kherson region last month.

"We're seeing a kind of a reduced tempo already of the conflict... and we expect that's likely to be what we see in the coming months," she told NBC News' Andrea Mitchell, who was chairing the panel.

She said both Ukraine and Russian militaries would be looking to prepare for any counter-offensive after the winter.

"But we actually have a fair amount of scepticism as to whether or not the Russians will be, in fact, prepared to do that," she said.

"I think more optimistically for the Ukrainians in that time frame."

Ms Haines said US intelligence believes Russian President Vladimir Putin does not have a full picture at this stage of just how challenged his military are.

"We see shortages of ammunition, for morale, supply issues, logistics, a whole series of concerns that they're facing."

However, analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) painted a different picture in a daily review, questioning whether the freezing conditions could permit "a higher pace of operations as winter sets in".

The institute cited comments by Serhiy Haidai, Ukraine's regional governor in Luhansk, who observed that the weather in the eastern Donbas region was changing as winter conditions set in.

Previously, the ISW had asserted that operations in the Donbas were unlikely to slow down as freezing conditions created "the most optimal times of year for mechanised manoeuvre warfare".

（注：　以下、転載省略。　原文サイトは下記のリンクへ　）

www.bbc.com

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水面化で停戦（休戦）の交渉が行われているとも報じられています。西欧等ではクリスマス休戦もあるのでしょうが、そもそもプーチンがデッチ上げ事由（ナチ）で一方的に侵攻開始した戦争ですから、プーチンサイドから休戦の申し出をすることなどあり得ない筈です。従って、ロシア（プーチン）は自身の敗北を認めるしかないと思われるのですが・・・。

＊＊＊　下の写真は、記事内容とは関係ありません。